Saturday, June 14, 2008

Oil prices going to cool off soon...but not until they hit their highs!!

Barely weeks after stunning the world with news that oil prices will touch $200 a barrel, Goldman Sach's oil analyst Arjun Murti predicts oil prises are going to plummet to nearly $75/barrel. He attributes this sharp decline to 2 factors.

  1. Soon prices of oil would rise to a great extent, that there will be a sharp decline in demand of oil, consequently, pushing down oil prices steeply.

  2. Some OPEC countries have issued statements that they might increase
    oil production following this oil crisis in order to ease the supply
    pressure and cool off the demand. This is too likely to push down oil
    prices.


According to me, the ongoing 'slowdown' in the growth of the global economy and falling growth in industrialized countries will push down oil prices alongwith food prices and other necessary commodities' prices also. Further on, if India and China are unable to offset high commodity prices, they would too fuel a slowdown in oil consumption in their own countries thus pushing down oil prices( but not for too long).

Moreover, Saudi Arabia is all set to break records by ramping up oil output to highest levels following the decision to increase production of 500,000 barrels per day. The increase would bring Saudi Arabia’s oil production to 10 million barrels a day, the country’s highest ever!! With greater supply, and diminishing demand - anyone can guess where petrol/diesel prices are going ----down!!

My fellow bloggers agree too! They go to the extent of saying the Oil Bubble is likely to burst.

Tell me what you think of oil prices here.

4 comments:

  1. [...] Oil prices going to cool off soon but not until they hit their highs!! [...]

    ReplyDelete
  2. YES PRICES ARE LIKELY TO GO DOWN IF THE SUPPLY IS GREATER THAN DEMAND

    ReplyDelete
  3. If the nuclear deal between INDIA and USA is materialised, there will be a steep decline in the oil prices, attributed to the fact that India is turning out to be a big oilconsumer to meet its growing energy demands

    ReplyDelete